P IINIlI ASSIEIED September HEI ORA't fr Urt TOr ARA SUSJRCTr l —Hr Charles h Bayer 4 1970 e Pro ect sS19990O80 U S Department of State Release — POSt­SePtember Chile h Personal View 4 5 OPerat ifyl E cL 0C in Part basic problem if the popular election of September 4 places in close competition for the presidency ia the coagressioaal eleccion of October 24 ' is to weigh the alternative risks to the U S that would be posed by Our Allsnde a an hlleade b our atteapt government to block aad C aside J Z Tbe case t bas been well argued In esseace Allcnde hopes c o EtttSIXsh a Harxist state to expropriate U S lnvastmeat to follow a foreign policy friendly to Cube aad inimical believe ue have aot given enough weight to forces iu to the U S Chile that might frustrate his plaus aa intact military that has aot oppressed or been defeated by the people ualihr Cuba when Castro took power aad poweri'al groups ia labor busiaess aad industry and I — on the land Hevertheleas obviously be heavy the peaalties of aa Alleade victory would 3 Ia atteaptiag to assess the penalties of being caught ia our pres­ ently proposed operation I believe it helpful to compare them with our hitherto most costly Latin American failure in covert operations Pigs' Say The American President mss able to assume raspoasibility for I doubt he dould do so for c palo Such ac aud evidence of our hurt our prestige aad effectiveness vo vemcat wo iu Latin America not to mention tha Uuited States Government's reputa­ tiou wich ics owa citiscasy even more than did Pigs' say I assess as greater than those of an the potential penalties — Allende victory Die SR Dept of Sure RPSflpfl MergmerP Gmfeid lo Cbprlfy er Q Blared m Dere oa g RemoaLGl IIIIIlMSSIFIE Chile proleot rrS199900030 U S Department Release DM @ I pat tion s of State Ertcise Den r InFull 5 Va can ilmya deny accusations vhather'false or trna but if accusations in this csee vere supported by evidence our denials could not avert tlat heavy penalties involved Tha only aura say to do so is to refrain 3­ cc lM'R ­ Mr Clice L%V DDCt MCosrrs hsu This document is from the holdings of The National Security Archive Suite 701 Gelman Library The George Washington University 2130 H Street NW Washington D C 20037 Phone 202 994-7000 Fax 202 994-7005 nsarchiv@gwu edu