we m Date I 4 waif A roved for Rel a pp 5 19 03 INSTRUCTIONS FOR JAMES DONOVAN James Donovan will be returning to Cuba at Castro's invitation for a week in March While from our point of View the primary purpose of Donovan s mission will be to secure the release of the Americans his time with Castro will provide the United States Government an invaluable opportunity to affect the course of events in Cuba This paper deals with the potentialities of the Castro discussions and not with the prisoners release 2 We should anticipate that it will be difficult to obtain a United States position on what should be said to Castro While this is a policy decision--and policy is not our role or responsibility -everything that can be said to Castro will be based on what CIA believes Castro might do as a result of what Donovan may say to him 3 The United States has three objectives in Cuba First we want to get rid of all the Russians and their equipment and weapons Second we want to stop the Communists from using Cuba as a base for subversion throughout Latin America Third we want the Cuban government to change from one that is Communist c0ntrolled to one that is acceptable within the framework of the Organization of American States 4 United States objectives in Cuba can be accomplished in a variety of ways First there can be an invasion by U S military forces in order'to overthrow the Castro government and install one to our liking This is obviously the last resort and certainly one which the United States has not been willing to face up to It is obvious that we will never have another opportunity like that of October 1962 when the provocation was obvious and clearly demonstrable to the world Second we could covertly Support the Cuban exiles in another operation designed to overthrow the Castro government While Castro has probably less support today within Cuba than he did at the time of the Bay of Pigs he still is sufficiently strongmilitarily to defeat any exile attempt that is not backed by U S military force We have little reason to believe that this situatiOn will change Third we Can engage in other phases of political warfare to persuade Castro to break with the Communists and restore some form of relations with the United States and the rest of the Western Hemisphere This is where Donovancomes 5 From what Donovan has told us about his discussions with Castro and from what gleanings we can pick up from other intelligence sources particularly third country diplomats there seems to be some possibility that Castro might be weaned away from the Communists if his idealism his nationalism and his vanity were all properly catered to How to do this without offending the OAS other allies or U S public opinion is what must be considered Therefore it would seem that the basic question is what Donovan should tell Castro is something to give him the basic prerequisites for re establishing amicable relations with the U S 6 1 6 First Castro should be told that he must get the Russians out of Cubajlock stock and barrel This is a theme which should bear some success with Castro because he is beyond question disillusioned with his Soviet friends as a result of their removing the missiles and bombers apparently without consultation or notice Beyond question he must be disillusioned with Big Brother who backed the United States threatened force 7 Second Castro must agree to st0p all Communist subversion efforts directed at Latin America There is hope in this line also At his last meeting he told Donovan that he thought there was the possibility of reform in Latin America without revolution between now and 1970 He must recognize that the Alliance for Progress has many of the same objectives as his revolution Donovan could be thoroughly briefed a10ng these lines for his discus sion's-vw-ith Castro - -- 8 Third Castro should be persuaded to throw the Communists out of his governrne'nt and to renounce his Marxist-Leninist thesis As far as getting rid of his Communist associates is concerned there are some indications that there are splits in the Cuban hierarchy Further Castro can be given plenty of illustrations of the dangers of his position and the fact that if he doe sn't get rid of the others they will inevitably get rid of him His own renunciation of Marxism is far more difficult but here arguments can be used to show him that the split between Russia and China leaves him as nothing more than a pawn between two ya powers at the other side of the world and that they are going to be far too concerned with their own major differences to be able to back him at the end of an extended line of communication If the Russians back down over the missiles obviously the Chinese are in even a less advantageous position as far as Cuba is concerned 9 If Castro can be persuaded to evolve toward the above con- ditions then perhaps Donovan could hint at the United States gradually giving consideration to the re sumptiOn of trade and commerce with Cuba Donovan should make it very clear that the United States demands proof of good intent before it will act and that while Castro has made a start in this direction by releasing the Bay -of Pigs and the American prisoners any trend toward resumption of good relations will require other evidence 10 This could lead into 'a discus siohrof the resumption of Pan American flights the development of first what would be limited trade and the possibility of the return of the American tourist which second only to sugar was one of Cuba's principal sources of income Here the political warfare aspect of the problem starts to bear fruit The return of the American tourist or from that point of view even the third country traveller will afford the CIA tremendous jopportunities for intelligence collection and political and warfare The Cuban is basically very pro American and has always liked the North Americans While undoubtedly Castro has lined up some hard core anti Americans among the youths and Negroes in a little over four years he has not been able to blot out the image of the United States as a friend_ which exists in the minds of most Cuban adults In fact it might be ha zarded that the Castro regime would have difficulty Surviving the resumption of normal relations with the United States 11 Finally Donovan could paint for'Ca stro a glowing picture of what could be done for Cuba as a friend of the United States in contrast with the permanently black picture that will prevail--with only one ultimate result if Cuba continues to make the United States her enemy With Donovan's gift as an actor and his forensic ability he should be a good match for Castro in this debate