Degessi ed in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 700020010-3 The President s Daily Brief 11 September 1973 -o 4 3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 11 A Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 Exempt from general declassi cation schedule of HO I 1652 category declassi ed only on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY THE DAILY BRIEF 11 September 1973 DEVELOPMENTS Lao Prime Minister Souvanna Phouma's chances are good for gaining cabinet approval to sign the agree- ment with the Communists this Friday Page 1 A North Vietnamese military recruitment campaign which began last month could provide some indication of Hanoi's intentions in South Vietnam for the next 'dry_season which runs from October to May Page 2 25X1 The Soviet Union's Ryad program to develop a Series of third generation computers is at least three years behind schedule Page 4 Notes on Iceland China and Norway appear on Page 5 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 Declassified in Part Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 CIA-RDP79T00936A011700040010-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY LAOS Prime Minister Souvanna Phouma has scheduled a cabinet meeting for today at which he intends to press for approval to sign the agreement with the Communists on September 14 His chances of gaining approval appear good the two ministers who had voiced the principal opposition to signing dropped their objections yesterday The waning of rightist opposition has re sulted from several days of r a vering on Souvanna s part Souvanna arranged two meetings between Lao Army generals and Pathet Lao repre- sentatives to discuss the military por- tion of the protocol Although the meet ings produced no substantive Communist concessions they seem to have allayed' the generals apprehensions about Commu- nist interpretations of the agreement One of Souvanna's most vocal military critics Army Deputy Commander in Chief General Kouprasith and several other influential officers have now pledged their support to the Prime Minister _ During the course of seven months of ne- gotiations Souvanna has been close to signing several times but was forced to back down at the last moment This could happen again but the odds for signing are better this time FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 CIA-RDP79T00936A011700040010-3 Eeclassified in Part Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 NORTH VIETNAM Hanoi apparently began a substantial military recruitment campaign in August which if past pat- terns are followed will continue through this month Recent North Vietnamese propaganda has reminded the population that military conscription must con- tinue in peacetime as well as in wartime or emergency cases More conscription messages were noted in North Vietnamese civil communications during_ August than in all of the previous six months The gtotal is comparable to that of January 1973 when Hanoi completed its large winter induction cycle After January most young men reaching draft age apparently were assigned to civilian reconstruction jobs The extent and duration of the current conscription drive could provide some indication of Hanoi s intentions in South Vietnam for the next dry season which runs from October to May If a heavy pace of inductions is continued during Septem- ber it will provide Hanoi with a large pool of manpower which could be ready for infiltration as early as November Allow- ing for time to travel south and for inte- gration into existing forces theSe troops could be committed to combat around the turn of the year 1 If conscription tapers off in September however it would mean a relatively small induction drive This coming on the heels of unusually small recruitment cam paigns in the spring and summer would suggest that Hanoi has no plans for large scale fighting in the first few months of 1974 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 Declaes ified in Part Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY CHILE 25x1 - 25x1 25x1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 Declassified in Part Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 USSR After more than six years of work the Soviet Union's Ryad program to develop a series of third- generation computers is at least three years behind schedule and large-scale production is not likely -for several years The Soviet goal apparently had been to produce 3 000 5 000 Ryads per year by l975r Only a few hundred machines actually will be pro- duced by then - As a result the Soviets have abandoned plans to phase out production of the Minsk-32--an obsolete second generation computer The Minsk-32 will be the foundation of the automated management systems- Ito be set up during 1973-75 By modeling Ryad computers after the IBM-360 series the Soviets had hoped to save both time and money and make use of the large stock of IBM soft- -ware The program has been hampered by shortageS of high quality components out-of-date production and testing techniques and ineffective direction_ and coordination - Western help will be critical in deter- mining how fast the Soviet Union can mass produce reliable Ryad models The US France the UK and Japan already have Supplied machinery and technology to manu facture key Ryad components Moscow now is seeking to purchase complete automated plants for the manufacture of key compo- nents such as integrated circuits and disc drives 1W9R Declassified in Part Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 NOTES Iceland The cabinet probably will approve resolutions today calling for a review of Icelandic participation in NATO and in the-event of further incidents at sea a break in diplomatic relations with London The hardened attitude toward the Brit ish stems from recent rammings- one resulting in the death of an Icelandic seaman- and British recon naissance flights over the disputed fishing area Growing tensions and the resultant public pressure in Iceland may make compromise difficult in negoti- ations later this month on retention of US forces Vat the Keflavik base China Officials of the China National Textile 'Import and Export Corporation have indicated they expect the US to become Peking's major cotton sup plier Representatives of at least three major US cotton exporters have either traveled or been in- 'vited to China in recent weeks to negotiate sales of cotton from the 1974 75 and 1975 76 crops The Chinese have so far purchased about one eighth of the amount committed for export from the 1973 74 crop and would like to buy more Regular sales of large quantities to China would require an expan- sion of US cotton acreage and ginning capacity Norway The returns in Norway's two day elec _tion are so scattered that a permanent stable gov 1ernment may be difficult to achieve Although it lost some seats the Labor Party Norway's largest is still the best bet to form a government either alone or in coalition with the Socialist Electoral Alliance the Communist Party the Socialist-People's Party and the anti-EC Laborites Even if the final tally should give the non-socialists a majority it is doubtful that this diverse group could cooperate to form a government Ile Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 I a Dechssified in art - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 CIA-RDP79T00936AH11700040010-3 I T0106 6676 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016 06 15 CIA-RDP79T00936A011700040010-3