Eh r 5% DECLASSHHED REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY Wm - Authoritymm s A CA f 3 Jim 9112 08 02 GUOOTGOING 9 3 SECRET mogazg 3 PAGE a1 - ETATE wagsaz ORIGIN woos-m6 INFO IEQE i DRAFTED BY AHLUCKE APPROVED BY P DDNENSUM 3 sxas - AMBASSADOR SMITH 0E5 - MR PICKERING - MR F - MR SALMON SUBS 10 - MR HAYNES AF - MR KEELEY ED PMINPP - MR - MR BETTAUER DGREN 3 NSC30PL1NGER sussq SIS-01TRREYNDERE laz l z is 0 1222112 JAN 8% ZEFE 3 FM SECSTATE WASHDC T0 CAPE TOWN IMMEDIATE INFO AMEHBASSY PRETURIA i3 NHITE HausE _s STATE aassaa i iwouls TOWN Pea CD ETD DAVID Dal TAGS FARM MNUE $5 i SUBJECT-s us CONCLUSIONS ON SOUTH ATLANTIC EVENT AND 3 SECRET 3 E 3 DECLASSHHED TWA 1% AN THE NATURE AND PROBABLE SOURCE UP THE LIGHT Department of State TELEGRAM SECRET ETATE AE9522 1 SECRET - ENTIRE TEXT 2 A TEAH or us EXPERTS UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF DR FRANK PRESS THE ADVISEH COHFLETED ITS HEVIEA OF ALL DATA ON THE SEPTEMBER 22 SUSPECTED NUCLEAR IA THE SUUTH SOON TO issu A PUBLIC THE PAHELTS CONCLUSIONS IN ADVANCE OF PUBLIC RELEASE HE INFORH THE EAE AND OTHER INTERESTED GUVERNHENTS HAVE DISCUSSED THIS MATTER FTT CANADA AUSTRALIA NEH LEALAHD DHAAIHE UN THE GUIDANCE IN PARA 3 BELDH HE AHE ALso BRIEFING INTEHESTED HEHEERS 05 CONGRESS AND AILL PRUVIDE THE STATEMENT TU UHSTG IN EUL- FILLHEHT 0F OUR CCHHITHEHT TU ASSIST HIH IN HIS STUDY OF THE SEPTEHEEH 22 EVENT IN THE PRESS LEAKE ADVANCE 0F FUHHAL RELEASE HE INTEND TO usE THE SECOND PAHAEHAPHS BE THE STATEMENT s TEXT DF - THE PANEL UF SEIEHTTFIC EUAVEHEQ ET THE HHTTE HAs CONDUCTED A THURDUGH RETIEH HECDADED ET A UNITED STATES TELA SATELLITE OVER THE SGUTH 0N SEPTEHEER 22 1979 THE PANEL HAS UNAELE TO DETERMINE WHETHER THE LIEHT SIGNAL RECDRDED BY THE SATELLITE HAS FENERATED BY A NUCLEAR EXPLOSION DR SHINE EITHER PHENOMENDN -- THE PANEL HEJTEAED A NUMBER OF ALTERNATIVE NATURAL FHENDMENA HHTEH MIGHT HAVE CAUSED THE SIGNAL AND ALTH DNE SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY OUTGOING 2 C3 L mama-W my am unwarr vth-f-W' way-rmng-mwyw myw warm n m w a mm w n wqu NA S vw NB g-g DECLASSHNED Authorlty mw OUTGOING TELEGRAM Department of State SEEHET PAGE E3 ETATE EXCEPTION RULED THEN BUT THIS EXCEPTION IS THE POSSIBLE REFLECTION UF ARON A SHALL HETEENSID OR A PIECE OF SPACE SESHIE EASEINE NEAR THE SATELLITE -- THE PANEL ALSU FOUND THATA AS OF THE DATE OF ITS REPERT THERE AAS ND ADDITIONAL NHICN COULD EERHEESNATE NHETHEH A NUCLEAR EXPLOSION 0R SOME ETHER PHENUMENDN OCCURRED -- BECAUSE OF LANEE UNCERTAINTIES THE EANEL NAS ENABLE TE ASSIGN RELATIVE PNSEABILITIES Tu THESE ALTERNATIVE i THE PANEL RULED OUT THE BUSSIBILITY THAT THE SIGNAL COULD HAVE BEEN CAUSED BY A SATELLITE HALFUNCTIUN -- THE PANEL IEENTIEIED A FEW TECHNAEAL AREAS FUR FELLEN- I OH INVESTIGATISNS NHIEH HILL BE UNDERTAKEN IT Is NOT EXPECTED THAT HDRK NILL RESNLT IN ANY ALTENATIUNS To THE BASIC END TEXT OF ENIDANEEJ A UNDER THESE CIRCUM- STANCES NE HAVE DEEIDED TD NAAE ANSTHER ATTEMPT TE REACH A NUELEAN SETTLEMENT NITH SSUTH AFRICA AT THE SAME MINDFUL 0F INCREASING PRESSURE IN THE UN FDR NUCLEAH SANETIENS AEAINET SOUTH EANNET TNET QUESTION OF SANETISNS INDEFINITELT DUB JUDGMENT OF THE NILLINSNESS To Move TUNARD A SATISFACTORY NUCLEAR SETTLEMENT NILL BE A FAETEE IN OUR CONTINUING REVIEN OF THE ISSUE 5 IN CENTENPLATINE REACHING A NUELEAH EETTLENENT NITH THE SAG ITS POSITION ON THE SEETEHEEN 22 EVENT Is OF you NILL HAVE SEEN SEPTEL A THE LATTER HAE To SAY EN THE ESESISILITT 05 AN AUTHURATATEVE SECRET Vim NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY Him JEN 'th yew- 11 W w NAAWWP ma -E i Authorityg ATQ 6 87 2 OUTGOING Department of State TELEGRAM 3 SEERET PAGE A4 ETATE SAG DENIAL BF INVOLVEMENT IN THE 22 EVEHT HE THINK THAT 0H THE HEELS OF THE PHEES PANEL AH STATEHEHT BY THE UN THE SEPTEHEER 22 EVENT HouLo CLEAR THE AIR IN 0F 59 A A STATEMENT BY THE 5A5 HE ARE PREPARED TD HUVE AHEAD 0H A SETTLEHEHT ON THE Fl VORSTER ASSUHAHEES 0F AUGUST 1977 REMAIN NUCLEAR THAT THE SAG TD THBSE 5 you SHOULD TAKE EARLIEST Tu BRIEF A 0R DTHEH APPROPRIATE EEVEL 0H CONCLUSIONS DRANING UN PUINTS 1H FARA a YDU SHQUED ALSO DHAH ORALLY ON THE SUBSTANCE OF FARAS 2 AHD A AND DELIVER Kw THE LETTER AHA AHHEA CONTAINED IN PARA 7 EELDH HE RDPOSE EUUHIE EHAHHEL LARGELY LETTER IS THTEHDED To RESPOND Tu Hi5 EDHHUHTEATIEH TU Tug OF LAST OCTOBER IBUT HE HILL DEFEH To YOUR JUDGMENT As TU HHETHEH THESE -MESSAGE5 HUQLE BE MORE EFFEETTVE TF ADDRESSED Te EITHER THE HIHISTEH OR THE PHIHE As TU TIHTHE Tou SHOULD THE 5A5 AITH THE PARA a BRIEFING As C NT sown As POSSIBLE AGAINST THE LIKE LAHUUD THAT THE HILL QUICKLY LEAK AHD APPEAR BEFDRE THE HAS HEARD UH THE BTHEH THE 1 HQ HE DEFER To TD BEST TI i f HDAEVER As Tau HTEL i LETTER DF THE A SERIUUSHEES 0H THE QUESTION OF DUE GENERAL HUELEAH - DIALOGUE AHA To PUT THE BALL 1H SUUTH 3 CUHRT HE JUDGE THAT THEE NEEDS TO BE DONE As EXPEDITIOUSEY AS POSSIBLE 7 TEXT OF LETTER HI - SECRET C 0 NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 3 if n t 31 133 11 23 Wm 333 1 1 wa mm gg w mam L -4 ED DECLASSHHED Authoritymw OUTGOING TELEGRAM Department of State 1 ET I 1 PAGE D5 STATE I AN DNITIND TD ADDNESS THE ISSDE OF NUCLEAR SETNEEN DDN I TNINN IT is THAT HE NDT LDSE SIGHT OF THE CDNDEHNS AND NEASDNS FDR THE PAST TND TEARS HAVE LED DDN TD DN THIS ISSUE BEFDNE ADDRESSING THDSE DNDADEN DDNCENNS NISN TD MAKE CLEAN THE THE DS SDSPEETED NDCLEAN EVENT OF SEPTEMSEN 22 1979 THE US NAS CONDUCTED A HIGH-LEVEL AND INTENSIVE S51ENTIFIC ANALYSIS DE ALL THE DATA AVAILABLE TD THE AVAILADLE TD US THE EXPERTS NENE DNADLE TD NHETHER DN NDT A NDCLEAN I WISE-1 ALSO T0 EXPRESS MY STRONG DISPLEASURE AND REGRET AT 0F GENERAL CONFERENCE TD NEJEDT THE DNEDENTIALS OF THE TFNIDAN DELESATIDN -NE THATTADTIDN AND CLEAR TD THE GENERAL IN THIS NEDASD NE ARE THAT ADDEDTANDE 0F SAFESDANDS AND ADHENENDE SEEN AS A MAJOR POSITIVE STEP BY THE DTNEN MEMBERS OF THE I-AT THIS NE FOCUS DDN THE SNDADEN NDDLEAN ISSDE I LTNE TD ADDRESS NTSELH TD TDDN LETTER DE NHIDH YOU NATSDD SDNE SPECIFIC ASDDT HDN THE UNITED STATES ENVTSADES TNE EDNTHEN NEDDTTATIDN DF DDN NDDLEAN CDNDENNS DDN TD THESE DDESTIDNS TS DDNTAINED IN AN ANNEX TD THIS LETTEN AD RAISED TN TDDN LETTER ANE TENT DD NDT IN DDN VTEA DD TD THE HEART 0F THE NATTEN THE FACT IS THAT AFTER HDNE THAN TND TEARD DF TTHERE HAS BNEN ND TDNAND ADRDENENTS PROPOSALS CDNTATNED IN THE T928 JDINT NENE SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 4 3 aw fr-wwm mWwW-wwm-w W WDMA I Authoritymw Department of State OUTGOING TELEGRAM 3 SECRET PAGE SS STATS SPECIFICALLT T0 FHSVIDE A SASIS FDR - HE URGE THAT SUSTH AFRICA PHUCESD TUHARS THE BASIS SF THS SOIHT HS REMAIN CDNVINCED THAT THE SIMULTAHEOUS ACTIONS SHTISASED 1N THATDUCUMENT AHD LI ELUCIDATED IN THE T0 THIS AFFORD ASSURANCE TU SASH PARTY THE HUSLEAH IS CERTAIN ASAIH To come SEFSHE THE F SECURITY LSUHSIL SSH ACTION AS I NOTES 24 THE ABSENCE US SISHIFILAHT TSHARH A HUSLSAR A SETTLEHSHT IS EHUDIHS THE BASIS 0H HHICH THE HSHAS SESH 0 ASLS T0 AHT SUSS 0F SAHCTIUHS AGAINST SOUTH AFHISA TS IN THE AREA BE SUPPLY THAT STATEHEHTIS TRUE TDUAT LSD HS ARE PREPARED TS HUSH HTTH YOU TSHAHD AH ESHITASLS SH HT ASHEEHEHT UN HUSLEAH MATTERS IN OUR TIES ITIS I ESSENTIAL THAT uuH HAPIDLT SHOH SECAUSE OF THE AND URGENCY OF THIS HATTEH I i 33 SREGUEST THAT THTS SS PASSED TO THE PRTHEHIHISTES AND THE FSRSISH HIHISTEH AT THE EARLISST 53 END TEXT OF LSTTER BESIH TEXT OF I THE us SRAHCH HILL HESSHHENS THAT THE RESULATSRT LICENSE THE FUEL SSH S THS SAFARI REACTOR TH AccoHuAHcS HITH THE TERMS DE THS TJDIHT FSHSIHS THE AVAILABILITT OF LSHER FUEL FUR SAFARI PROVIDING THAT suuTH AFRICA ASSESS j AHHSUHCSS ITS TS SECRET REPROPUCEP WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 15 3 4 1 59 1 I -- L 43 9 I 41 DECLASSHHED Authority MM of Thaw- 3 w r gm Department of State TELEGRAM Qt CT l l I PAOE E7 STATE A AOCEOE TO THE EOE-PROLTPEEATIOE TREATY AND NEGOTIATE A POLE-SEOPE AGREEMENT AS PROVIDED THERETN APTEP TAKINO THE STEPS SPECIFIEO BELOE TO AssuRE CONTINUED us NUCLEAR POEL B UNDERTAKE IMMEDIATELY TO COMMENOE A SAPEEUAROS DEVELOP- MENT PROJECT AT VALINOAEA AS DISCUSSED TO ENTER INTO COOPERATION ETTH THE Os REDUCTION OF LEVEL FDR -FUEL TO 2E PERCENT ENRICHED 2 THEREFORE As A NEXT STEP THE 93 THAT SOUTH AFRICA CONFIRM ITS INTENTION TO MAKE ANNOUNCEMENT AT SAME TIME THAT THE EXECUTIVE -PR1ATE RECOMMENOATION TO THE NRC ONCE THE SAG OOHEIEHE THIS INTENTION THE US PROPOSES THAT RELEVANT AGENCIES OP THE TAO SIDES CONCLUDE A CONTRACT FOE SUPPLY OE SAFARI FUEL IN THIS IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE EXISTING EOE CDUPERATION AUTHORIZEE SUCH SUPPLY BUT DOES NOT EOETAIN THE OOETRAETOAL EAETE EOE BY THE SEOTH AEPTOAN 09R SIMULTANEOUS REEOMMENOATION TO THE NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION HOEEVER COOLO PREOEDE EOEOLOSION OF THE EOEPLT CONTRACT 3 WITH RESPECT TO SUPPLY RUEOMGB TUE THE US REITERATES ITS RILLINGNESS TD THE US-SUUTH AFRICA FDR CDUPERATIDN TO MEET CRITERIA FOR NEW -0R AMENDED AGREEMENTS SPECIFIED IR THE AOT UPON OOHPLETION OP EHIEH 9AA BE DONE ON A PRIORITY BASIS THE us WILL SUBMIT THE MENT TO THE CONGRESS FOR WIN URDER TB A SIMULTANEUUS SETTLEMENT THE RENEGUTIATED AGREEMENT HUQLD COME INTO EFFECT HHEN THE US CONGRESSIONAL REVIEN IS SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY avg x vars w u-w uni 7577- up 7 1 v-r m w v Emu E r17 #3 e3 A - 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