Approved For Release 200 e - 87R00029R000200420055-2 25X1 4 June 1982 25Xl NOTE FOR SUBJECT State INR Request for Update of Pak SNIE and Assessment of Argentine Nuclear Program 25Xl I propose the following in response to the request which I mentioned at this A M 's NIO meeting --Pakistan A short 2 -3 printed page memo to holders of SNIE 31-81 Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons Program The Next Three Years which would say a that Paks have not slowed their efforts to get the bomb and b there is new evidence of significant PRC assistance on at least the weapons-design side Our estimate on timing for the availability of material late 82-early 83 84 might be adjusted somewhat --Argentina A relatively short 3-5 printed page SNIE focussing on a intentions concerning production ornuclear explosives b the principal political and financial constraints and c incentives that might exist in the aftermath of the Falklands conflict to develop and acquire nuclear weapons Both papers would follow fast-track procedures The Argentine paper could be part of a broader assessment estimate that NIO LA and NIO GPF will be doing Drafters j I for Pak paper andj for Argentine assessment I've discussed with both Next steps 1£ you agree with the above --Notify of request and suggested follow-up 4 June --Discuss with C NIC for his perspective and approval 4 June --Call R Martin INR and infonn him of approach to be taken 7 June --Draft concept TOR for both papers and have C NIC approve and send to Reps 9 June cc C NIC 1 ------------ 25Xl 25Xl 25Xl 25Xl - NIO NESA NIO LA 25Xl 029R000200420055-2