lb H II 1 • • • • _ TOP SECRET I • • ·• ' _ • j • ' ltllflAIMID811llfft9'1t ' · Nmmb1r 1992 '· DST•1548Z 509·92-SI ·Nuclear ProlUeraUon • Data Sheeb iJ • f • f I I 1i111111111 b 3 50 L'SC • PQ049275 CopyNo •103-1 1 @ 1 I__ _ __ i J 5- -----•-•- - 177 a 1 b 3m0 L SC l D 1 TOP SEGRET lOr S CAE aj • HOPl flltiieet N'l'IW t OST·15411Z S0H2·SI 1 it ' I 1 Defense lnlaJllaence ·Assassment Nuclear Prallf1rat1an Dall Sllalll II ln omtllllon aso 30 Wy 199-2 • bX6 · hX6 b 3 5o use •103-l iJ 1 - · -- f• I 1Nl 111111 _ Aclllf1 4 OBJJQfM b hWUJ Q 261 h a aaao 0H DADA • ------------ --- -----'-1-------------------• b 3 ·so use 403-t i I lbl U I SEGRET DST· 1540Z•509-92·S1 • Nuclear Prolilerallon Data Sheets Ul • KEY JUD8MENTS • U The prollferarion of nucleor weapons poses ll tremendous risk to world security and stability Since rhe development of nuclear weapon by lhe United Stace in World War ti four additional countries the rormer Soviet Union Great Britain France and Chinn have developed nuclear weapon stockpiles The changes Caking place in the former Soviet Union and the revelations about 1hc Iraqi nuclear program In the aftcrmulh of Dc ccrt Storm have increased the level or concern ubout the i tatus of nuclear programs in otncr countricl' and their potendaJ threat to U S forces and interests WHF 'lv'rt The reody availability or open source infonnolion from which nuclear weapons d igni can be developed means ·that the crilical ingredient is only the pr'lduction or acquisition of tis ile material Massive efforts 10 complete nuclear facilities have taken · place in several countries including India Iraq lsr-Jel North Korea Pakistan and South Africa These facilities could have nuclear wcaponii applications as well 1111 peaceful civilian applications lntcmationol treaties ond export controls hove concentrated on reguarding nuclear mocerfals facllltie • and lcchnology The only proliferation country known to have detonaled a nuclear device is lndi which conducted such a test in 1974 b I 1 4 l r i 'i 1 1 i 1 f i _V l ' t 1oo-- • -- - l • _e - SeveraJ other countries have advanced nuclear fuel cycles and hove the nuclear infrastructure ro develop nuclear weapons if they were to decide to do so The growina concern in the 1990 is that more sophisticated nuclear countries i uch 11 Chino Pakistan or North Korea will assist other wilh whom they have clo11c political tics and over which the United Stales ha • little inffucncc The DIA Nuclear Proliferation Data Sheets provide concise inceltigencc a •scsi mcnl5 for specific countries These assessments arc based on previous DIA publication5 including aperiodic in-depth srudics of a pnrticular nuclear program or aspect or nuclear prolircr uion Dato She L• on individuol countries together wilh ll summary of all countrici of nuclear proliferation concern will be issued is new analyses become available •• • ----------------------- - -··-----------November 1992 iii 9ECftl T scene DST-1540Z·509·92·S1 • • · Norttl Korea lf fl ''A'ff North Korea inilia1cd II high-priority nuclclll' program in the I 970s Their b l I A c - • rcprocc ing facility will likely be operational in 1992 and ifno problems are encountered de lo ed nuclear wea n within two cars - - _ November 1992 V 9 eReT- ene DST•1540Z S09-92•SI b I I •I I ------- If such o facility ha been opernting for some time • Nonh Koren might already have a nuclear device b J I ouse 4 4 November 1992 8iQRil vi • 6E6AET DST•1540-50 92·SI • Table of Contents • • • vii tgs viii lZ•4 nrc non -----J responsive t November 1992 SE8RET SEefU T • DST•1540Z-509-92·SI Nuclear Proliferation Data Sheets NORTH KOREA Foreign Assistance Nuclear lnlrastruclure t91'lfflR•'•'lf' North Korea received no direct assistance from foreign governments in the development of their nuclear program but theirindigenou11 program did make use of openly available foreign reactor designs North Koreadld se k out the training equipment and suppliers for their program from numerous countries around the world • nea1Y Obllaauons Nuclear Fuel Cycle • 8 ' Wl l'IN The North Koreans possess n complete indigenous plutonium fuel cycle including uranium mines ore concentration facilities fuel ctcmenl fabrication f11cility plutonium production reactor ond reprocessing facitity t HffA'm Nonh Korea signed the Treaty on the Non-Prollferatlon of Nuclear Weapons NPT in December 1985 and agreed to sign and implement a full-scope safeguards agreement within 18 months In Oecemb11r 1991 1hey indicated that 1hey would sign lhe sofeguards 11greemcnL In addition on 31 December 1991 North nnd South Korea agreed to a Kon 1111 Peninsula non-n11 clcarization joint declaration banning lhc tesdng manufaclun produclion possession storage deployment receiving and use of nuclear weapons The North Koreans ratified lhe NPT in April 1992 An JAEA inspection team conducted 11 rt_w_o_ _•e_e_k_i_ns_ p_e_ct_lo_n_in_J- - ' ' ' c 99 2 • ___ -· - _- 1 1 4 c I · I a I - j - November 1992 KN-I SEGR f SEOR1Et' • DST 1540Z·SOM2·SI • b I 1 4 c Nuclear Wea aos Praonm and fulUla Dntlopments · bXl lA c _ a ______ Ncrth Korea•s longer-term nuctev uction goals are uncertain ' r • bXJ --· -- ·· l 4 c J - _______ ' ____ Nonh and Sc u1h Korea a e curnntly holding discuulons on the inspection o their respec ri vc nuclear facilities Ncwe tttr 1g92 Sl C e'P KN-2 • 9E8AET DST•1540Z SD9-92 •S1 b I 4 c bX I 1 1 c • Dellverv Vehlcles t 14fflJN North Korea has incremcd missile ro- duction -t 1 __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ - --- - ---1 Missile planl 3nd test racili- ties hnve been built c r panded or upgnided 10 improve b I IA q ic ualit and uan1i1 of wen on roduccd • I DOI 30 JUL 92 b1 6 Defense lnlclligcncc Agene ' • • bXl 'I A c Reverse Blank K N-3 r t i ·sf j u- ii n responsive I J ------ ·--· November 1992 8EGA1i I lbX3 10 llSC •l •I • No ol Cult No c1111911u s•ort TIit Copl11 DlSTRIBUTION UST C111L No cu 111 111 Short Tlllt Ne ol Coplu AOOI AOGI AID 1 J 111 AIJI AIU AllJ Al All$ Als J A IOI Alfi I I I I I I USTRANSCOW QA HO h011M j JSSPAC t0141J2FCP ' JOOS 111101 U OICM I I I USQCUHT I U CINCl Vl1' USCIICPAC I I I l Oll1 QlllUSIRAH IJSfl I ' POSS I SttlCSO IJSCICSOC IIPICl8 OOUIASI 04lSG IIEGISTIIY I HOOS Pon STAl'Ull Mll STAl'UM'M 1'1112 POa STAI lffEII AM Af'F POl4 POIS PDIO PIGG STN'EflCII ums I I I om POIIII I ran I I 12 10 I I I I I I I do I D I I 2 2 I • FIIIII 111110 I • I HOUS VJllOD I I H0 1SMNAS E 110 m I I I • Copl11 DOI GClll5 I 6 No C111l0111e S cxt 11111 oo J IIS No ol Q11L QIJ coz CHO C7U D15f 12 is 1 DIN I EOOI 1 I Dt4r Dlfl mo E30 I OASAJIES0EV ucrusm1114 140DADCS-OPEJIA110NI I l' NIS 14011A II WI MGT SUPPORT0F'1Cf 11011 DAIii C FIIGN lllffl DIA Cl ICttlTEJ SICNAV ' IUAAlfTWIG 1II llfMlP 11'11 IIOUWJN l'TM JIN IIOAFSMNAWL I 2 I I I STArEEl -C ' 'II STW#IICANAIF z NM l'Sls« al N t J SEG COUNCIL I 2 I s PI09 I I I I I I I PIii 1'711 0111 1 - -'- -1 - I I I SCIIII 5013 UHL LU •t 4 US FOIICES COMIWIO I •I ' I I QODI 00Q 0'21 0Slt wa PRAii WIili HOUSE Sir All ICSfAFf IMWAAINTt81DS 111 I ARIC FASTCAIXU •Sic JIIE i T 'II cu tomn IU I I I I I bXJ to use Tobi H1nlcapy an