If PoL Department of State SEt ET PAGE 01 TO KYO 07 141 260 0206402 I I AC TI ON SS 70 I NFO OC T 01 C IAE 00 071 W 0 6 45 4 9 R 0 2 04 4 0 Z SEP 6 9 F M AMEMBASS Y' TOK YO TO SE CS'T' ATE WASHDC 8213 I NFO CINC P AC HICO MRY -DECLASSIFIED - EC R L7 MD I S £ TOKY O 7141 ECTION I OF 2 E O 13526 Sec 3 3 h't5 s-7l § NARA Date J • J'J· Z-D SUB J I A§ OK I NAWA GOES S0 1 GOES JAPAN SU MMARY o WI TH STRUGGLE • OVER MUiTUAL S CURtTY TR A T Y COM I NG UP IN f 9 70 JAPA I S AT cROSS ROiDs ANT1 us F' 0 RCE s ARE MOB I L r z I NG O KE ' - TO r CON IT i Nu Tl ON 0 F p ROD u CT i VE US J APAN POS TWAR REL TIONSHIP I L lltS· IN MU TUALLY SAT I SF ACiT ORV RESOLUT j ON I OF ' OK I NA W A PROBLEM NE OTlA T I ONS T HU§ F b R HAVE 1 ACHI ' ED PPRE t j AB E ACCO MPL I SHM E NTS FOR OUR S'I DE• ' CAMEL S' BA CK SHOULD NO 'T' BE 1 0V ERL 0ADED 'o INI TUNE WITI GlH M DOC l R INEJ OUR A I M Is F UNDAMENTA L C0LLABORAT1 ON BETWEEN FREE WORLD'S T WO LE ADI NG ECON OMI C POWERS TO PRESERVE 1 PEACE IN EAST ASI Ao 0 lQ IN AN TIC IP ATI ON OF ' F0'3NMIN AiCHI •S 'FORT HCOMI NG VI S IT TO -IAS HINGT ON IT MAY BE USEFUL ' TO SUBMIT SO ME IMPRESSI ONS RE OK iNAi A PROBLE M AN D' ITS IMPAC r ON JAP AN AND US o 2o F Er OBSER VERS DOUB'T' THAT ' ON OUlf COME OF OK INAW A I SSUE ARE HJ NGED FATE OF OU R MUTUAL 1 SECUR i TY _ TRE ATY F UTURE CO URS E OF J APA N ° S- PO L ICV AN D U IMATEL'f' PEACE tN F AR E AST o THIS MA Y SOUND LIK E SWE EP IN G S TATE MENT aur H i STOR C NAT URE OF 9 70 CROSS QROAD S I S PERH APS BEST DRAM T i ZED BY FAC T THAT GOJ IS CURREN TL Y CONSTR UC T ING STRONG H I GH WALL AROUN D DIE T PREMISES I N GIRD I NG AG AINS T UNHOLY ALLiANtE OF ·OPPOS ITiON F ORC ES BEN T ON REVERS I NG D IR ECT I ON OF JAPAN' POLiC i ES Si NCE WO RLD WA R II o 3o PO STWAR REL ATI ONSHIP BET WEEN · us AND J APAN BEEN H IGHL Y PR O DUCT VE FOR BOTH COUNTRIES• Bui · HISTORY IS SELDO M STATiC OUR DECLASSIFIED Authority t f lJ 9IP 'fW Department of State PAA 0e TOKYO 07 141 TELEGRAM 020640Z AO J UOTI NG TO CHAN GING CO NDI TIO NS E•G• FROM OCCUPATION TO TRE rv R· I ATIONSllt P HA S BEE N' IN EVITABLE• IT ALSO BEEN HIGHL Y SUCCESSFUL• 4u fJROBAOLY GR ATEST FAClrOR CURRENTLY AUGURI G FOR CHANG E fS JAf'AN 1 6 PHF'NOME NAL 1 ECO NOMIC UPSURG E MORE' THAN ANYTH 'ING' ELSE Ir IS SIG NALING THAT TILT R LATIONSHIP WHICHI CHARA CTER I ZED US• JAPA N POSTWAR RE LATIONSHIP MUST MOV F1EVEN FURTHER IN DIRECTIO OF R LATIONSH IP OF' SO VEREIGN EQUALS KEY QUES TION IS WHETHER FREE WOR LD'S TWO LF'AOING ECO NOMIC • POWERS WILL STAY IN STEP OR NOT • PROSPECT OF FAILURE CA USES ON E TO SHUDDER WITH MEMORIES OF NINfTEEN THIRTIES• • KEF PlNG IN STEP WITH JAPAN DO ES NOT RPT NOT MEAN KOWTOWING TO JArAN S WHIMS IT DO ES HOW F VER SUGG ES T JAPANESE PEOPLE WI LL EXPECT TO OE TREATED' AS AMERICAN PEOPL E DESIRE TO BE TREATED ALWAYS SE NSI TIV E IS QUESTION OF FORE IGNERS IN ONE'S COUNTRY o T IS DIFFICULT ' TO IMAGINE AN AM ERICAN POL'lTI CIAN RUNNING ON A PLATFORM FAVORING EX CLUSI VE MILI TARY FACJ L1T I ES FOR JAPANESE ARMED FORCES ON AMER I CAN SOIL WITH EFFE CT OF EXTRA TERRITORIAL PRIV1LEGES • PPEALS WHiCH FORNMIN AiC HI BE EN MAK ING RE PROPE R RESPECT FOR JAPANESE SOVEREIGNTY · HAV E SUB HANCE IT rs QUITE NATURAL' F'OR GOU To WISH PR IOR CONSUL TA• TION BEFORE BECOM ING EMB ROIL ED iN WAR WITH MAINLAND CHINA 60 7o HAVING SERVED IN MIDEAST I AM IMPRESS ED THAT SI GNIF'ICANT ALB EIT PRECARIO US PU8LIC1 SUPPORT' EXI STS FOR US BASES IN JAP AN RECENT YOMIURI POLL SHOWED 32 P RCENT OF JAPANESE PEOPLE SUPPORT CONTINUATION OF MST AF' ER 1970 24 PERCENT OPPO SE AND 44 PERCENT UNOEC IDE01 IN MOST MID EAST COUNTRI ES PLAGU ED WITH VARIOUS FORMS OF ULTRA• NATIONAL iS M VOTE WOUL D BE ABOUT 99 PERCENT TO OUST FOREIGN BASES 8• IT STRIKES ME THAT AMONG 0THt R 1 THINGS AT TAKE IN CRITICAL° YEAR AHEAD rs· l HETHER JAP N IS GOING TO BE' ABLE TO EHAVE IN F'UTURE AS SOP HIST I CATED AND ESPONSIBL PO ER I ALTHOUGH EVEN NATION LIKE F'R ANCE OUSTED• OUR BASE I _OR WHETHgR MORE PRtMI lVE ANO EMOTIONAL F'ORCES OF' JAPANES ' NATtONAL rsM s FOSTERED BY JSP COMMUNISTS AND ULTRAuNATl ONALIISTS ARE• TO PREVA IL 1 9 ALL OF WHICH IS TO SAY THAT JA AN S INTERNAL' POL'ITICS I§ AT CROSS ROADS AND IT IS OF' PRIORITY INTEREST TO US TO SEE CONTINU DECLASSIFIED Authority t • ' I f 1 9lo 1W Department of State TELEGRAM -s-Ef RE' if PAGE 03 TOKYO 07141 0206402 ATI ON OF WELL OR 1 ENTED 1 GOJ SUCH S • HAS' CHARACTER POSTWAR - I ZED - JAP AN• IF RADICAL ' FORCES ' UKE JSP WERE TO GAIN ASCENDENCY OUR MI LI T RY F AC1I LI TI ES ' WOULD BE i DOOMED AND · PROSPECTS F'OR JAPAN us COLL BORATIONI IN PRtSERVING PEACE t IN FAR EAST WOULD BE BLEAKo 10 0 WHICH WAY J PAN WILL I GO ' gE ENDS AS SEN TOR MANSF I ELD tiA OBSERVED ON HANDL NG OF I OKINAWA ISSUEo PRIMiN SA TO'S DP AND LI KEMINDEO ELEMENiTS ARE i COUNTING · ON ' SAT i SFACITORY RESO UTION oF PROBLEM TO PAVE · W' o Y ' FoR1 vic i RY ' IN ' DI Err ELECTION ' wH·ie H MUST BE HELD BY JANUARY 1971 AND L I KEl1Y· TO BE ' HELD EARL II ER o ANTl•US FORCES ARE COUN riNG ON OKiNAWA ISSUE AS FLAG TO WHi UP PATRIOTIC EMOTIONS TO SCORE Vic foRi E EiTHER iN STREET OR IN DtE r ELECTIONS EVEN Pi RITlAL I viciTORIES- FOR THESE UNFRiENDLY F' ORCES WOULD i NEV l HBLlf '• DR l VE1 GOU i NTO • MORE NAT J ONAL 'l St J C S TAN CE o • I I o BUT WE ALSO HAVE PROBLEMS · AND' REQUIREMENTS• PR I OR TO ACQU IR• I NG WHAT ONE OF I THEM DESi R 1i BED· AS · 11 0 j GGER I p yCTURE 11 · SEVERAL ' RECENT CONGRESS'lDNAL VIS1TORS SUGGESTE D THAT siNCE- 1 WE ARE THERE WE s ·IMPLlt' STAY ' IN OKINi W TO CONiTlNUE 't OUR COMPLE f E' JURtSD icTiON WOULD11 OF' t' COURSE'I BE ioE L I UNOER i CURRENIT ciRcUMSTi NCES HOW EVER TO ATTEM Pr ' · To • 001· so wout o • oNLf'f ASSURE RE 1VERS L ' oi - 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