· · · -- - - - ·1 ·t_t- -- ' - - - ---- ·-------- - -· - - - - ___ __ _ SUB-INITL TIVE -- 1 2 3 • i - · '· i •1_· _ · TITLE oai t i - -- ·· - ' 4 _ _ -1 ' f l• Determine the Page 1 of 2 Clinate Change Caused by Han and Nature v--------------·----- --------Sub-In i tiative Goal Ass e ss current and future impact of natural climatic changes provide alerts to potential catastrophic trends and gain new environmental insight and understanding as a basis for wise strategies Relationship to Initiative Achievement of these goals wi•1 1 assist in the taking of protective measures against potential natural disasters such as large-scale - inundation of low-lying coastal regions broad extensions of ice sheets and severe health hazards •· Relationship_to other initiatives This initiative relates to all others to varying degrees For example transportation on land or in the air exerts a deleterious effect upon the atmosphere and is in turn affected by it Similar relationships exist with the other initiatives 1--- 1I O· _ i 1------------ J ' l f -- sub-Initiative Benefits A Economic a · Balance of trade impact Is low c ' Fl 0 b Employment impact Is low I ' c B Omer Social This s ub-initiative relates to man's very survival r I 1- - 1 1 t - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - i ·- Pl a n for Evaluation of Progr c s Toward and Accompli s hment of Goal j · Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library I I - - 1 -- #•· '· - - -- - · - - - • · ·- 4 i r Jf · t - · t - i l J - ·- Page 2 of 2 's u B -iNITL TIVE -1 · _ _1s it1v1ty of Sub-initiative goal to funding levels -2 0o o -10% ' Element x x x x 10% I I 20% i t I 1 2 3 1 R R N 1 2 3 2 N N E N E tp l i it co' J r-- l ' L' fJ r-t --- ' J ndica t e E c xpand R r c dLlC C D t1i - ca r c l T ' n r·1 · h 1 n n Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library f I ' r·die cff·• 2 · · _ · · ·- llit · · J • · · - -- i · P f O RA - 1 ELEMENT I --- O 0- _ _ r 1 2 3 1 ·L' ·' ✓- r • · •• - ·-· · · • L- • •• - 1 --- i ··· 1 i · - -y · ' • _ · c CZ I ·• ·· - t ·i TITLE '-'t r - •-- r-- r - ' •'- L 1 ·· ··• - '•' -t •• Establish 6 g lobal and 10 re gional baselin e stations to measure gaseous particulate levels s t a b li sh 6 glo al and 10 regional ba3eline stations and equip with appropriate mon i toring sensors The global stations will be in ar e as r eu ote from man's influence lin orde r to monitor long-term global trends The regional stations will be in ' se ttle d areas to monitor the general state of contamination ' ·B S 1d Product Baseline measurements of atmosphere turbidity carbon dioxide solar radiat±on ertical distribution and size distribution of aerosols ozone water vapor trace lgases and hazardous substances will provide observations nee2ed in the assessment jof climatic change and in the long-rang planning for control activities j- J H e la t1onship s to Sub-initiative s I I l- Derives basic observational data essential far assessment of global climatic trends Supporting Data a Current Vo1·k S t 2 tus Value 8 Adequ2 cv J J '· l · Federal Government Only 1 global baseline station now operating at Nauna Loa Hawaii Additional instrumentation is needed A network is needed including 5 more stations with additional instrumentation Selected weather stations have been designated as regional monitoring stations a1ditional technology is ne eded for environmental monitoring purposes l l c r I 2 Priva te Sec to - --- None This monitoring activity is a government responsibility development will be contracted to the private sector Some instrument '--- 1 t lI T c c hni c 2 l Evalu a tion of Sub m i ssion T chnology i s available Technological risk is low L L i I I t I L j c t fos ti t utio ii l Probl e ms None nationally On the international level appropri a t e institutional roles the Environn ent I raay be ad d ressed at the 1972 UN Conference on l--d -----------S ir• i f i c i n c c oi Ekr 1cnt I r--1 I r 9h8 two e l eme 1ts a re clo s ely linke d in fe e dback w de This one provides stable sourc e jo f informat ion needed as in pu t t o pa rts of oth e r cle ne nts AL l 1 te r u c ports t h- s Reproducedand at the mod Richard Nixon Library t he i -1 f ormation base e lin g Presidential to improve c l e e n t wi th promisi ng t e chnology I - ·-- -- - _ -__ _ ' ' '___ 1- ·- ---- - -- _ •_ --··' - $ - ' ' j · --- - __ __ _· l _ ' A ' r _ - i -' -- ' - - C V '• • t' P6 Establish 6 g foBJtf egional baseline stations to e sure gaseous part c ulac e le ve ls TITLE P P CGRA f ELEMENT 1 2 3 1 ·--·----'- - - - - - - - - - - - it I' P c sou r c s and Schedules l_i · F e d 2c 2 l Co s ts bv AP ency Millions to th e ne2 rest 1001 • 2 3 73 72 A enc t ' aseline I 4 73 1 6 5 73 i 74 0 75 ud g et Add-On Total · Tot Tota l equest NTO aselin Prog -2 T ProOnly NTO gra •• I ±0 1 j Ta rogra Program P EC 0 0 0 2 0 7 0 9 1 4 EPA 0 0 0 1 2 0 2 1 3 0 3 9 ·t t i o 1 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 2 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 i i ' Tot2 l Run• Out NOAA 0 8 1 9 1 2 3 9 NSF 0 2 0 5 0 5 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 0 2 0 2 LO 2 7 4 4 8 1 9 5 7 2 7 2 6 2 6 2 I - ' I 3 0 I r b Major Milestone Schedule FY 73 establish 2 global 4 regional stations II II II II II II II FY 74 FY 75 establish 1 ·global and 2 regional sta ions FY 76 complete i mplementation operate network c I F 11 anc1ng I • D i rect Ap r op -i a tio ns lOO % Oth e r Federal tr u s funds etc · None I I Privat e S e ctor ' None I d l e E x penditure of Gove rnment Funds In-hous e FY 73 FY 74 In-house 2 4 3 1 Contract 5 7 6 4 M an o wer In-hous e Contract FY 73 180 210 TOTAL f l Y 75 3 4 3 8 FY 75 190 · 180 370 76 3 4 3 8 FY 76 200 170 370 FY FY FY 77 3 4 3 8 a na lys i s i s feasibl e Be ne fi t s are Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library i rr me n se bu t not qu c m tif iab l e si nc e t his e l ement con trib utes t o Pn 11ri n - -· I - · No ' l I A 11_ - _ y _s__i _s_ _ _____ __ _ ' ' 1 _I ----- a Rr s u l ts I None c o s t Ih 11 cJ i t I 77 200 160 36Q F aci liti e s ' __ I_ 390 FY 74 180 220 400 FY ' b Docum c nt t io n R e fe re n ces N Conf c r 0 n r ' u ·I I w v_ '7' er el- ' ---11-· · _ _ ' l c e l _o fe• 2· --- ··· -· •· ·_ r - · --- - · - 1 O F rz• i _ J lt E LE ME NT L2 3 2 ··---- - - ----1 ' · i · 1 t c r11 - nt 1 r' 4 e'- - f- • a ii b ► e • • _ __ _ · · · ·· as an aid to modeling resear ch usin g laser and other technolo gi e s TIT LE for automated remote sensing t l s t impacts of individual factors on climate Test for long-period climatic fluctuaConduct field studie s and de velop basis for mon i t oring high at mosph e ric constituents Collect aero s ols by aircra f t and balloons Devel o i n ew capabilities i n ins tnnnentation and automated r er 10te ·sensing i ti on us ing numerical simulation models I'- --------• 1n I I s ct Prcdr tct Certain conclusions can be reached on the basis of these investigations on Lhe state and future course of climatic change affecting all mankind Modeling and technological develo rnents will with time impiove conclusions now lacking firm basis I -c -- n·cla 1 - - --onshi s to- -- --- ----- --------------------- Sub-initiative s I · Develops technology conducts field studies to improve the -data base requireij for assessment of climate trends d velops numerical models that will predict global climatic fluctuations and thus pr-0vide alerts to potential national dis s ters Il j D S _tpp orting D a ta a Cu rrent Woc- k Statu s Value 1 Adequac c l · Federal Gover n -ncnt These research studies instrument development programs and projects relate primarily to monitoring programs for which the Federal government bears primary responsibility · c IIJJ -- -- - 2 I Privat e S e ctor Some studies instrument development projects will be contracted out to the private sector j t T c hnical Eva lua tion of Submission Technology is available L I Technological risk is low I' · II I • i - -·r•--'' · 1' - T _·• 1· u•t ir 1 ' - •• v l' On '-'- r iI P 1· ob lc •ns c l • • r - •···-· ··- - - - - -- -- i' c l - - - -- - - i Sig n inc tncc of Ele m 8nt Both el eme nts int e rre late closely One supports the other One is essentially the info r mat ion s o 11 rce and the other is the analysis phase combining to produce ' r es u l t s i '1t -_ 1· rnd -r - 'I I ► Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library · • 1 · t n '° ·rl · c -l --t - 1-· - l rl c- r· nn -t- · i t t _ _ _CJ l it t 11 -r r s ➔ · J -f l· n - Page 2 of 2 - U·1 r P R OGR A M ELEMENT E r• • __ L it - _ 72 ·· -- - i ½L i •' _ Conduct sfc u a investi ga ti o s as an ai d to modeling research using las e r and other ech nolo gies for automated remote sensing TITLE 1 2 3 2 Resources and Schedules F e eler al Costs bv Agency Millions to the nearest l00I z 3 4 5 I b • 'J 74 73 75 76 72 73 73 77 Total Total · Total Total Add-On Total Agency ·B aseline Budget Baselin Progra n Pro- rProgran ProRequest NTO ·NTO grarr Only gram _ t -- · ' - -· - lU · Total RunOut AEC 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 5 o s 0 6 0 6 0 6 0 6 DOD I 3 0 1 8 0 5 5 3 4 8 4 8 4 8 4 8 4 8 EPA I o o 1 1 1 0 2 • 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 0 3 0 SMITH I o o 1 2 1 2 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 NOAA f 0 0 I 0 0 2 8 1 0 3 0 I 3 0 I 3 o l I 5 8 4 1 I 3 o I 3 8 I 12 9 13 1 I 3 2 I 12 1 I I - 11 9 lLB ri 1 D I I b Major Milestone Schedule FY-73 Initi a te stratosphe ic inve tigation mode lling tudies othe ield pr j e c FY-74 De velop prototype lidar microwave inst r umentation for determining vertical pr ofile of particulat es continue field proj e ccs FY 76-77 Develop auto mated ·femote sens i ng continue field projects l II Ih t I I c_ Fi n ar _cing _ _ Direct Ap p ropriations 100% Other Federal trust funds etc None E x penditure of Governm ent Funds FY 73 FY 7L1 irn-house 6 0 6 1 fonr ra_ct 6 9 7 0 Private S e ctor I j None d e lf Manpower I n-hou s e Contract F a cilities FY 5 9 FY 76 b _ 5 5 4 _ __ 6 5 5 3 o L 75 FY 77 FY 73 FY 74 FY 75 FY 76 _ _ 77 FY 180 210 390 185 190 180 370 200 160 360 200 160 210 395 I I %Q - - ---- C ost Be n efi t Ana l ys i s a l CS ll S lt t No ne F_ I _ b Docum e n t a tion Refer en c e s Ho analysis is f eas ibl e Benef i ts a r c irr 7 e r 3 e but not UN Con f o n Hu na n Env Reproduced Richard Nixon Libraryi ng Many s cientif i c ref quan t ifiD bl e s in ce th is el emeatntthe cont rib ut Presidential es to e nsur r 1itn ' s surviva l H l- ·I