LOG 9408299 DATE 14 OCT 94 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL DISTRIBUTION RECEIPT SUBJECT NSC STAFF PAPER RE NATO EXPANSION DOCUMENT CLASSIFICATION -SfieRETEXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION MR WARREN CHRISTOPHER DEPT OF STATE 7TH FLOOR 2201 C STREET NW WASHINGTON DC MR WILLIAM J PERRY DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE VIA EXECUTIVE SECRETARY ROOM 3E880 PENTAGON WASHINGTON DC AMBASSADOR MADELEINE K ALBRIGHT U S MISSION TO UNITED NATIONS VIA USUN W - ATTN D SCHEFFER ROOM 6333 DEPARTMENT OF STATE 2201 C STREET NW WASHINGTON DC 20520-6319 GENERAL JOHN M SHALIKASHVILI JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF ROOM 2E873 PENTAGON DEPT OF DEFENSE WASHINGTON DC DATE TIME SIGNATURE PRINT LAST NAME COPY 1 PRINT LAST NAME COPY 1 PRINT LAST NAME COPY 1 PRINT LAST NAME COPY I UNCLASSIFIED UPON REMOVAL OF CLASSIFIED ATTACHMENTS InitialB VL Date DATE TIME SIGN THE RECEIPT AND RETURN TO NSC SECRETARIAT ROOM 379 OEOB PAGE 01 OF 01 PAGES 8299 ■OEGRET THE WHITE HOUSE WASH INGTON October 14 1994 MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY OF STATE THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE REPRESENTATIVE OF THE UNITED STATES TO THE UNITED NATIONS CHAIRMAN OF THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF SUBJECT NSC Staff Paper on NATO Expansion I recommend that you review and circulate to selected senior persons on your staffs the paper on NATO Expansion prepared by NSC staff attached at Tab A The paper was prepared to contribute to interagency deliberation and consultations with our Allies and others on this matter in coming weeks - -S- ' Anthony Lake Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs Attachment Tab A NSC Staff Paper on NATO Expansion DECLASSIFIED E 0 13526 Sec 3i b White House Guidelines Septemoer 11 2006 BjlIL_NARA -gceR-ET Declassify on OADR -SECRET October 12 1994 MOVING TOWARD NATO EXPANSION We have less than two months to a refine USG thinking about our basic goals and rationale for NATO expansion b conduct initial consultations with the Allies and subsequently with the Russians Ukrainians and CEEs and c based on a and b prepai'e an initiative for the December NATO Ministerial that would kick off a fomial process within the Alliance to define an agreed policy framework for NATO expansion The following is a summaiy of NSC views on USG direction and tactics based on interagency work to date and our own thinking post-Yeltsin Summit I Policy Framevrork Objectives Develop an integrated and inclusive security system for Europe including but going beyond NATO expansion In the medium terni an expanded NATO including the major CEEs who live up to our precepts with the prospect of further expansion to those not admitted in the fkst tranche In parallel an institutionalized relationship between NATO and Russia This could take the form of a Treaty an “alliance with the Alliance” - It should include a mechanism for consulting with Russia on NATO or NATO-led military operations as in ex-Yugoslavia but without giving Russians a veto over NATO decisions Possibility of NATO membership for Uki'aine and Baltic States should be maintained we should not consign them to a gray zone or a Russian sphere of influence New members would acquire all the rights and responsibilities of current members full Article V guarantee and would commit to eventual full integration in NATO’s military structures but full integration would not be requii'ed at the outset and there would be flexibility on operational issues such as stationing of foreign forces NATO expansion should take place in coordination with the enlai'gement of the EU but should not be delayed to match the EU’s likely timetable •SECRET Declassify on OADR 0REF SECRETRationale To project stability eastwai’d and to underpin the democratic reform process in CEE we need to create a perspective that Partnership for Peace will lead to Alliance membership for some PEP members To make clear expansion is not seen as directed against any countiy process must be developed in pai-allel with long-temi strategy vis-a-vis Russia that includes intensified partnership with NATO and development of other institutions CSCE G-8 Expansion process will be evolutionary and linked to a continued robust PEP as mechanism both for preparing new members and for deepening relations with countries not likely to attain membership or at least not among the first group to join “Insurance policy” ”strategic hedge” rationale i e neo-containment of Russia will be kept in the background only rarely articulated On contrary possibility of membership in the long term for a democratic Russia should not be ruled out explicitly as the President and Yeltsin agreed pace Volker Riihe Criteria Avoid explicit checklist e g military requirements stick to “precepts” democracy market economy responsible good-neighborly security policies On military side general goal should be interoperability with NATO forces with precise standard to be refined as PEP evolves Standardization with NATO forces should be longer-term objective but need not be attained at time of accession Timing Eor own planning purposes should anticipate earliest explicit NATO decision on new members to be taken no sooner than first half of second Clinton term But we should avoid proposing specific timetable at this stage or identifying which countries are likely to be included or excluded from the first group •SECRET During interim Use PFP reinforced by U S bilateral security assistance to deepen relations with all partners potential members and others and to promote interoperability Issue for decision how to set priorities for use of $30 million in FY95 and the expected $100 million in FY96 for PFP support and to meet the President’s commitment of $10 million for the Baltic Battalion in FY95 Watch for progress vis-a-vis “precepts ” Begin to establish the functional building blocks of the future enhanced relationships between NATO and Russia consult with Moscow on best way to institutionalize this relationship Keep the membership door open for Ukraine Baltic States Romania and Bulgaria countering Allied inclinations to “tilt” in favor of the Visegrad countries while stressing that all candidates must satisfy the same precepts Develop Allied thinking about militai7 requirements for potential new members both internally and with them e g pace of militai7 integration forwai'd deployment “Gemian solutions” such as temporary restrictions on stationed forces deployment on new CEE members’ territory II Fall Strategy Notional Objectives at NAC Ministerial Statement of “precepts” for potential new members Affirmation that in the context of these precepts PFP is the path to membership as well as an important mechanism for cooperation in its own right Tasking by Ministers to NAC to initiate a formal review to establish Alliance policy framework for expansion including political security rationale militai7 requirements role of PFP evolution of relations with countries who do not seek or obtain membership jEGRET -SECRET 7- Statement of new more ambitious goals for expanded NATO relationship with Russia in addition to PFP implicitly foreshadowing “alliance with the Alliance” as alternative to membership track Announcement of ambitious PFP and NACC work programs for 1995-96 including broader range of field exercises CPXes defense planning activities political consultations to signify acceleration of integration process - for future members and non-members alike At CSCE Summit seek adoption of U S initiatives to strengthen CSCE as mechanism for conflict prevention and crisis management as a key element of broader strategy of building an inclusive European security system in which Russia plays a major role Outline of discussions o RET Road map 1 Consultations with UK Germany France mid-to-late October 2 Unreinforced brainstorming session at NATO late October 3 Interagency team to London Paris Bonn and other key allied capitals Rome The Hague — October-November 4 Reinforced NAC to prepare for Ministerial mid-November 5 Interagency team to Moscow Kiev Warsaw and other CEE Prague Budapest Bucharest Baltics and possibly Bratislava and Sofia - late November 6 NAC NACC Ministerials December 1-2 NAC issues communique or declaration on NATO expansion NATO decision briefed to pai'tners at NACC 7 CSCE Summit in Budapest December 5-6 Adoption of U S initiatives to strengthen CSCE 8 Bilaterals with Russians Uki'ainians CEEs on margins of NACC and CSCE and or dispatch high-level briefing team to Moscow Kiev and CEE capitals as we did after NATO Summit O SEeRET o Themes With Allies seek consensus on above objectives discuss military implications building upon October 7 OSD JCS briefing With Russia continue dialogue on rationale for NATO expansion compatibility with goal of inclusive European security system lay groundwork for development of special relationship alliance with the Alliance consult on agenda for strengthened CSCE With CEEs Baltics Ukraine outline way ahead lay down precepts review militaiy implications e g extent of integration NATO will require - drawing on OSD JCS briefing make clean candidates and timetable are still open questions stress need for them to support positive parallel track for Russia AV DF NATOMOV3 SECRET-