2 HHilWIKE W4IMt Department of Statj TaEGRAM wtrwwmAN a7S0«6 -0 »6l PAGE 01 TOKra 02216 201027Z 17 ACTION SS-2S INFO OCT-01 150-00 SSb-00 NSCE-00 ACOA-00 EROE-OO ISO K 11 087 0 20091OZ FEB IS FH AMEHBUSSf IWTO TO SECSTATE WASHOC INNED ATE 8132 JNRE-00 50DE-00 CIAE-00 we wwwwww wo we Ri 8 'M P J J t 1 i A W1 FOR EA DEF ASST SECT E O 116S2 XGDS2 ' TAGS FARM JA US SUBJl JAPAN'S HATiriCAtlON tF HPT SEFs A TOKYO mt t 9 IAEA VIENNA 11211 C ■ TOKYO l 2 • SUWARY1 FONOFF’S DISARMAMENT CHIEF PROVIDED US BACKGROUND FOR STRONG PITCH ON MPT RATIFICATION HADE YESTERDAY BY UN BUREAU OEPOIR NODA NOTING CONTINUED COMMITMENT TO RATIFICATION BY PM MIKI AW FONN1N MIYAZAUA HE FOCUSSES ON STRONG aPPOiiMON IN LEIP COUNCILS UNDER MIKI'S INSTRUCTION FONOFF GEARING FOR HONTH-LONG CAMPAIGN TO OUTHANEUVER OPPOSITION IN LOP BY IN EFFECT ’GOING PUBLIC TO DISCUSS HPT A$ FACTOR IN JAPAN'S NATIONAL SECURITY TO OVERCOME CONTINUED ASSERTIONS BY OPPONENTS IN LOP THAT US IS ANB1QU0US TOUARO JAPAN’S RATIFICATION FONOFF HOPES FOR VERY HIGH LEVEL EXPRESSION OF INTEREST END SUMMARY t FONOFF DIR SiSARHA IN EMBOFF TO PROVIDE ON STRICTLY PERSONAL BASU FONOFF ASSESSMENT OF POLITICAL OYNANIt'S OX HPT ANC TO SPELL OUT CAMPAIGN PLANNED DURING NEXT MONTH TO ACHIEVE CONSENSUS NECESSARY IN LDP TO PRQCEtO WITH RATIFICATION KAZUHARA PAGE 02 TOKYO 02216 201027Z we MW we If W U Bdcld 34341297 H 0W UU W V BU w ••• M W® 4W g » KWWWW «W «e ®w M«WWWW w sw •M ffW WW V WWWWWWW w ®w ®w w M W® $ 999 IM KW«»9«$ SAID GOA FGRE905T PH JUKI AND FONNtH NiyX£M#i OEFEANINtO TO PROCEED BUT MIKPS WEAK POSITION £N LDP IS MAJOR DEBILITATING FACTOR UNDER « Kf‘S ANO KITAZAWA'S INSTRUCTIONS VICE FONK III TOGO ANO OEP FONMlN ARITA ACCOMPANIED USUALLY BY KAZUHARA IN PAST FEW DAY CALLED W LOP VP SHIINA SECY GENERAL NAKASONE UN SPEAKER KONO LH SPEAKER MAEC FORMER PM SATO AND OEP PM FUKUDA TO SOUND OUT THEIR ATTITUDES AND ELICIT SUPPORT IN FORMING FAVORABLE CONSENSUS IN LDP NAKASONE APPARENTLY LEAST POSITIVE BUT EVEN HE AGREED TO CONSIDER MATTER VERY SERIOUSLY 2 OPPOSITION where during OF COURSE Recent CENTERS IM LOP PARTY COUNCILS meetings with fonofe to oisctrss npt NOLY “HAWKS- HAYE SPOKEN AND THEY HAVE CLAMORED AGAINST RATIFICATION FOLLOWING SUCCESSFUL NEGOTIATIONS WITH IAEA ARGUMENTATIQN BY -HAWKS’ HAS SHIFTED FROM EQUAL TREXIHENT BY IAEA TO USUALLY EMOTIONAL ARGUMENT THAT JAPAN'S NATIONAL SECURITY WOULD BE JEOPARDIZED BY EARLY rfATIFlWION OF NPT FORECLOSING NUCLEAR OPTION - PATTERN OF tJPPOSITION TO NPT PREVAILED IN THREE OF FIVE LOP COUNCILS CONCERNED Foreign affairs research council headed by kitazawAi who STRONGLY OFP SED NPT PERSONALLY 8UT HAS NEVERTHELESS TRIED TO SEEK BALANCE ANO CONSENSUS IN MEETINGS WITH FONOFF I FOREIGN AGFA I RS 01V SAKAMOTO WHERE FORMER WAD SDF GENDA HAS MADE IMPRESSIVE ANO RATIONAL ARGUMENTS AGAINST RATIFICATION BASED SN CONCEIVABLE FUTURE THREAT TO NATIONAL SECURITY I AND SECURITY RESEARCH COUNCIL ARITA 3 DESPITE PRESS REPORTS FEB 20 THAT MIKI IN MEETING WITH KITAZAWA HAS GIVEN UP ON HPT RATIFICATION THIS SESSION KAZUHARA SAID FOLLOWING THAT MEETING MIKI INSTRUCTED MIYAZAWA TO PREPARE NEW THEIS1S TO CAMPAIGN FOR RATIFICATION TO COUNTER ’THREAT TO NATIONAL SECURITY- ARGUMENT FONOFF WILL SHIFT FROM FORMER EMPHASIS ON NPT AS A GN MATTER TO BE CONSIDERED APART FROM NATIONAL SECURITY TO DISCUSSION OF ISSUE AS ESSENTIAL FACET OF NATIONAL SECURITY NEW POSITION PAPERS WILL BE PREPARED THIS WEEK TO USE IN CONFERENCE WITH LOP COUNCILS POSSIBLY LATE NEXT WEEK AND SUBSEQUENTLY WITH PAGE 03 TOKYO 02216 201027Z X PARTT GEMERAULr FOHOFF HOPES TO 3UTMAN£UVER OPPONENTS WHO HAVE BEEN ABtE TO KEEP SiSCUSSION CONFINED TO CO0«CiL$ BV IN EFFECT GOING PUBLIC COUNTING 8N SUPPORT OF PRC-KPT MEDIA SUPPORT gV HAJORMV IN LOP AND H BSP AND KONElTO DECISION ON RATIFICATION ON NATIONAL SECURITY BASIS WILL HE FORCED ON SENIOR LDP OFFICIALS NAKASONE NAOAO SHINA ETC IM FULL PUBLIC DISCUSSION » ALTHOUGH BILL FOR RATIFICATION SHOULD NORMALLY BE DELIVERED TO DIET BY MARCH 1 » FONOFF TIMETABLE NOW CALLS FOR MONTH-LONG MPXiGi AND SPECIAL PRESENTATION TO DIET AS URGENT NATTER EARLY IN APRIL SAFEGUARDS AGREEMENT WHICH FONOFF HOPES TO INITIAL IN VIENNA NEXT WEEK WOULD BE SENT TO DIET WITH NPT RATIFICATION BILL AS REFERENCE DOCUMENT FOR STUDY NOT FOR SIMULTANEOUS RATjF TC AT ION KAZUHARA EXPLAINED THAT ATTEMPT FOR SIMULTANEOUS RATIFICATION COULD DOOM NPT RATIFICATION SINCE OPPONENTS COULD EASILY hOG DOWN DEBATE IN DIET ON DETAILS OF SAFEGUARDS ANO PREVENT MOVEMENT ON NPT BILL KAZUHARA CAuHONEO XHAT THIO STRATEGY MUST BE KEPT ABSOLUTELY SECRET FOR PRESENT S STRESSING PERSONAL NATURE OF QUESTION KAZUHARA THEN ASKED IF USG INTENDED TO TAKE ANY ACTION REGARDING JAPAN’S RATIFICATION OF NPT RECALLING PAST INDICATIONS OF HIGH-LEVEL USG INTEREST IN EARLY JAPANESE RATIFICATION HE SAID THAT LOP OPPONENTS ARE NEVERTHELESS EFFECTIVELY USING ARGUMENT THAT USG HAS SHOWN NO RECENT CONCERN WHETKEP JAPAN RATIFIES OR NOT AND INDEED THE US IS -PROLIFERATING- FOR EXAMPLE BY SUPPLYING ISREAL NUCLEAR TECHNOLOGY KAZUHARA NOTED THAT HANY COUNTRIES ESPECIALLY EUROPEANS AUSTRALIA CANADA US ETC WERE VERY INTERESTED IN JAPAN'S PROCEEDING WITH RATIFICATION ANO HE THROUGH TWAT AT RIGHT MOMENT INTERNATIONAL ■EXPRESSION OF INTEREST’ AS OPPOSED TO PRESSURE WOULD BE SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTION TO GOJ CAMPAIGN WITHIN L0P TO PROCEED AS WE ARE WELL AWARE HE SAID -PRESSURE WOULD BE COUNTERPRODUCTIVE AND PROVIDE AMMUNITION ESPECIALLY TO JSfi JCP TO PUBLICLY OPPOSE RAttEjCATION OF NPT AS ELEMENT OF US STRATEGY OF MAINTAINING US-JAPAN SECURITY TREATY ANO PRESERVING MONOPOLY OF NUCLEAR POWER PAGE TOKYO 02216 20I027Z GBIiriBBHYlAtr fek - CONHENttNa AGAIN THAT HE SPOKE ONLY PERSONALLY HE SAID HE THOUGHT REQUEST FOR APPOINTNENT BY US AMBASSADOR WITH EITHER PM HIKI OR FONMIN MIYAZAWA TO INOUIRE AtiOUt PROGRESS OH RATlFltATiOH PRO8A LP NEXT WEEK COULD HAVE IMPORTANT EFFECT SIMILAR INQUIRIES BY OTHER KEY GOVERNMENTS WOULD ALSO ALTHOUGH TO HUGH LESSER EXTENT PROBABLY HELP A COMMENT KAZUHARA’S UETAILEO ANALYSIS PROVIDES BACKGROUND FOR STRONG PITCH HADE BY UN BUREAU OEP DIRGEN NODA IN REFTEL C HODGSON V